Standard Chartered lifts its China's 2025 GDP forecast to 4.9% (from 4.8%)

China US trade war

Standard Chartered:

  • raises China's 2025 GDP forecast to 4.9%
  • says yesterday's data showed mixed signals: exports resilient, investment a sharp decline, with weakness spreading beyond the property sector
  • consumption weakened
  • continued weakness in domestic demand, particularly in investment
  • expects additional fiscal support measures
  • overcapacity and global uncertainty may delay investment plans in the near term
  • expects tariff truce between China and the US to be extended,

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