Reuters Poll: US 10 year yield to reach 4% in six months and 3.85% in one year.

  • Although lower than the current yield of 4.373%, it is higher than prior polls
  • U.S. 10-year Treasury note to yield 4.00% in six months, 3.85% in a year (vs 3.91% and 3.75% in March poll)
  • Greater risk is U.S. 10-year note yields higher than expected in three months, said 25 of 29 strategists

The current 10-year yield is at 4.373%. So the poll expect lower rates from today. However, those expectations are higher than the previous poll results with risk to the upside.

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