Putin: We are adhering to our obligations on energy to unfriendly countries

  • Putin says "It is surprising we are doing this"
Putin the wolf of gas meme

This is an important comment. Putin hasn't taken this off the table but the nightmare short-term scenario would be that if they cut off gas to Europe.

  • Sanctions on Russia are not legitimate
  • The west is trying to blame Russia for its own mistakes (on the US banning Russian oil)
  • Notes that US inflation is rising
  • We don't intend to break off any relations ourselves

These are important comments. There was a tail risk that Russia would halt oil and gas exports to 'unfriendly' nations but Putin appears to be reluctant to do that (though he's left himself some wiggle room).

  • We have agreements with friendly countries on fertilizers
  • On fertilizer markets: If the west creates problems for Russia, then there will be inevitable negative consequences for world markets
  • We don't want to see price rises on Russian food
  • Fertilizer prices could rise further
  • Russia decided to temporarily suspend fertilizer exports

Top Brokers

Sponsored

General Risk Warning