Oil is moving higher - watch out for the Middle East weekend risk premium

Going into the previous weekend I pointed out that traders are wary of a Saturday or Sunday ground war breakout in Gaza.

The signals we've been getting all week are that the ground war move has been delayed, but it's a bit of "they would say that wouldn't they" that could be going on.

If there are moves on the ground into Gaza a market ‘flight to safety/liquidity’ response should play out. If it happens over the weekend professional markets will only get a chance to respond come Monday morning, hence the Friday pre-emptive moves to provide some cover.

Something to be aware of.

USTs update:

ust weekend buy back 27 October 2023

USTs catch a bid in response to geopolitical turmoil. On this chart (of yield) that means the candles fall. As the price of USTs rise the yield drops and vice versa.

Top Brokers

Sponsored

General Risk Warning