Offshore Chinese yuan cracks major level to hit the weakest on record

  • Yuan rises above the highs from 2022, 2023 and 2024

In each of the past three years, the US dollar peaked at 7.37 against the yuan, or just below that. That level has now given way and the pair has touched a fractional record high.

Have a look at the monthly chart:

USDCNH monthly
USD/CNH monthly

This could turn into a problem for risk assets and spark fears of an FX war. I don't really think that's the case as this is about deteriorating Chinese fundamentals due to a trade war but I'm sympathetic to any argument. The next question is how high this goes?

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