New York Times 'Needle' puts Trump at 88% chance of winning presidency

  • Red Sweep looks likely too

Latest update from the New York Times model.

nyt needle 06 November 2024 2

Trump has performed strongly, taking (or ahead in) swing states he needed (they both needed!).

Can Harris still win - well, yeah, that's what an 88% chance for Trump implies. But sheesh, 12% is not good odds.

Red Sweep looks likely:

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