Morgan Stanley: US inflation fears lowest since early 2022, but watch for tariff pressure

  • Morgan Stanley’s latest survey shows inflation concerns among U.S. consumers at their lowest since early 2022, with confidence improving modestly. However, the bank cautioned that tariffs and renewed corporate pricing power could yet bring inflation pressures back.
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Morgan Stanley says American consumers are feeling less anxious about inflation than at any point since early 2022, according to its latest survey. The bank found 56% of respondents now cite inflation as their top concern — down from 60% in August and 63% a year earlier.

  • Sentiment toward both the economy and household finances improved in September, with 36% of those surveyed expecting the economy to strengthen, up from 33% the previous month.
  • Still, Morgan Stanley warned that tariff-related price pressures could re-emerge as companies regain pricing power, potentially reviving inflation worries later this year.

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The survey’s findings point to a more confident U.S. consumer backdrop, consistent with recent soft-landing narratives.

Reduced inflation anxiety could support spending and risk sentiment, though Morgan Stanley’s tariff warning flags potential upside risks for future CPI readings.

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