Morgan Stanley expects Brent crude oil to fall to $60 as supply builds

  • Morgan Stanley forecasts Brent crude will drop to around $60 per barrel by early 2026

Morgan Stanley forecasts Brent crude will drop to around $60 per barrel by early 2026, citing easing geopolitical tensions — particularly between Israel and Iran — and a well-supplied market.

  • The bank projects strong non-OPEC supply growth of about 1 million barrels per day in both 2025 and 2026, which it says will be enough to keep pace with global demand increases.
  • Morgan Stanley also reiterated its view of a 1.3 million barrels per day oversupply in 2026.
brent crude oil Morgan Stanley forecast 01 July 2025 2

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