Moody's forecasts China's GDP data will show a significant deceleration in growth.

  • Data due at the top of the hour
usa china trade
usa china trade

Moody's Analytics forecasts that China's economic data, due for release at the top of the hour, will show a significant deceleration in growth. The firm anticipates GDP growth will slow sharply to 4.2% year-on-year, down from 5.2% in the second quarter.

Further weakening is expected in domestic demand, with retail sales growth forecast to ease to 3%. This slowdown is partially attributed to a less favourable base effect due to the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival.

Additionally, industrial production is expected to be weak because of ongoing overcapacity issues, and fixed-asset investment growth probably slowed, primarily weighed down by heightened tensions between the US and China.

china September growth data 2

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