Japan data - Tokyo area CPI headline +2.5% y/y (vs. prior 2.6%)

  • CPI data for the Tokyo area leads the national data by about three weeks or so.
inflation

Japan inflation data, Tokyo CPI (Y/Y) September 2025:

  • CPI headline 2.5% (expected 2.8%; prior 2.6%)

  • CPI ex fresh food (Y/Y): 2.0% (expected 2.8%; prior 2.5%)

  • CPI ex fresh food, energy (Y/Y): 2.5% (expected 2.9%; prior 3.0%)

Softer-than-expected Tokyo CPI eases pressure on BOJ.

There is plenty of speculation about of a near term rate hike:

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