investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: BoJ left short-term policy rate unchanged at 0.5%

  • Financial market news for Asian trading on Thursday, October 30, 2025
Bank of Japan on hold 30 October 2025 2

One-liner wrap:

Asia opened to steady markets and one shock headline later.

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The session kicked off after the US close with earnings from Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft — all solid, as detailed in the posts above.

Heading into Asia, traders had two known unknowns to watch: the Xi/Trump meeting and the Bank of Japan policy decision. And then came one very unexpected development — more on that below.

Trump and Xi are meeting on the sidelines of the APEC summit in South Korea, their first face-to-face since 2019. They’re expected to sign off on a framework for a trade deal, part of a wider thaw in US/China relations.

The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 0.5% in a 7–2 vote, with Takata and Tamura dissenting in favour of a hike to 0.75%. Both said inflation risks are rising and Japan has largely moved past its deflationary mindset.

The BOJ’s inflation forecasts were steady at 2.7% for FY2025, 1.8% for 2026, and 2.0% for 2027, with growth projected around 0.7%–1.0%. The bank described consumption as firm and exports as flat, warning of trade-policy headwinds but leaving the door open to future tightening. Policymakers noted that real interest rates remain deeply negative even as the price–wage cycle strengthens, and highlighted heightened global and FX uncertainty while reaffirming their 2% inflation target.

The yen firmed briefly ahead of the announcement, amid social-media chatter that former BOJ Governor Kuroda hinted at a rate hike. But after the decision, the JPY reversed all its gains, sliding back toward 152.90, near recent lows.

Elsewhere in FX, the U.S. dollar softened slightly, with EUR, AUD, and GBP all ticking higher but holding within narrow ranges. Oil and gold were little changed. Asian equities traded mixed.

And for the genuine surprise — Trump announced the U.S. will resume nuclear bomb testing, its first since 1992. The move, coming in response to Russia’s claimed test of a “tsunami-making” nuclear weapon, risks reigniting a new superpower arms race.

Asia-Pac stocks:

  • Japan (Nikkei 225) +0.62%
  • Hong Kong (Hang Seng) +0.52% … Hong Kong markets were closed for a holiday
  • Shanghai Composite +0.06%
  • Australia (S&P/ASX 200) -0.35%

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