investingLive Americas FX news wrap 2 Dec: USD waffles. Stocks are up but not out of woods

  • Forex news for North American trading on Dec 2, 2025
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Markets:

  • S&P +0.25% Nasdaq +0.59%. Stocks rebound from yesterday's decline
  • 2 year yield 3.512%, -2.9 basis points.
  • 10 year yield 4.090%, -0.6 basis points
  • Crude oil down $0.70 at $58.62
  • Gold down -$20 or -0.47% at $4210.17
  • Silver up $0.53 or 0.93% at $58.51. It is a new record close
  • Bitcoin +$5240 or 6.06% at $91,519 Yesterday the price was down -5% on the day

The major currencies verse the US dollar are closing mostly lower. The exception is the USDJPY where the USD is higher.

  • EUR, -0.1%
  • JPY +0.30%
  • GBP -0.02%
  • CHF -0.19%
  • CAD -0.13%
  • AUD -0.34%
  • NZD -0.10%

The declines were helped by lower yields with the shorter end moving down the most by about 3 basis points, but overall activity suffered from up and down price action as traders struggle with moving too far in either direction. The Fed is in the quiet period ahead of the December 10th meeting where the market is still pricing in an 88% chance of a 25 basis point cut. The market will also be without CPI and employment data before the Fed decision next Wednesday.

In geopolitical news, US enjoy Witkoff and son-in-law to Pres. Trump Jared Kushner (no other government title that is known), met with Russian Pres. Putin on a peace plan for the Ukraine/Russia war. Putins envoy Dmitriev called the meeting productive.

Meanwhile, Pres. Trump snoozed (or so it seemed) through his cabinet meeting (that is when he was not speaking). Trump called the situation in Ukraine "a mess". He deflected comments on the "taking out" of the drug boats to his Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, who said he was not in the room when it happened and his General Bradley completed the bombings. It described the action as being done in the "fog of war".

Trump did say that he had made his decision on Fed Chair and later said that National Economic Advisor Hassett was the potential Fed Chair. Was it potential because he had to be approved by the Senate? In any case, Hassett is the bettors favorite so it would not be a surprise if he is the candidate chosen.

US stocks finished higher today, but both Nvidia and Microsoft failed in their attempts to close above their respective 100-hour moving averages. That leaves two of the market’s most important bellwethers still holding a bearish short-term bias, raising the question: Can the major indices continue to push higher if these two leaders remain technically weak?

The upside for the broader market is that other megacap bellwethers are providing support. Alphabet and Apple remain firmly bullish from a technical perspective. Meta, meanwhile, is neutral, with its price caught between the 100- and 200-hour moving averages, leaving its near-term direction less certain.

Overall, the market may need clearer participation from Nvidia and Microsoft to sustain a stronger, more durable upside move. (see post here)

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