The news from the weekend from OPEC+ meeting, raising oil output more than expected:
In effect, the decision returns nearly 80% of the 2.2 million bpd voluntary cuts from eight OPEC producers back in the market
- actual output increase has been smaller than planned so far
- most of the supply has been from Saudi Arabia
OPEC+ cited
- steady global economic outlook
- healthy market fundamentals
- low oil inventories
as reasons for releasing more oil.
Analysts have responded with:
- increased production represents a more aggressive competition for market share
- OPEC+ showing some tolerance for the resulting decline in both prices and revenue
The price response:
Goldman Sachs expects an slightly bigger boost at the next meeting, scheduled for August 3:
- expect a final 550,000 bpd increase for September
Update:
