ICYMI - Chinese CPI and PPI data over the weekend showed risk of further deflation spiral

  • While we wait for US futures to open - Chinese April inflation CPI and PPI go backwards again

April 2025 inflation data from China was slipped out over the weekend while everyone was looking at Geneva (US-China initial trade talks)

CPI:

  • -0.1% y/y (expected -0.1%, prior -0.1%)
  • +0.1% m/m (prior -0.4%)
  • Core (ex food and energy) unchanged at +0.5% y/y

PPI

  • -2.7% y/y (expected -2.8%, prior -2.5%)
  • PPI has been in deflation for more than two years
china deflation april 20252

Graph from Goldman Sachs doing the social media rounds

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