How do the Black Friday sales numbers look

  • Some numbers from Mastercard and Adobe
US consumer spending

American Black Friday sales numbers were released from the usual suspects earlier on Monday.

  • Mastercard SpendingPulse estimated that Black Friday retail sales ex-autos were +4.1% y/y, accelerating from the prior year's +3.4% y/y growth.
  • Adobe sees sales through Cyber Monday up 6.3% on a year-over-year basis
  • Salesforce said Canadian online sales for the weekend were up 9% y/y, highlighting continued Canadian consumer spending strength this year (something that bucks worries about tariffs/Trump)
  • For the USA, average selling prices were up 7% y/y, while order volumes were down 1% y/y.

Overall, the consumer looks fairly healthy and it won't hurt to get another rate cut this month. Pricing is at 85% for a cut on Dec 10.

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