Gold falls to a two-week low as China settles in for holidays

  • Gold down $10 today

The period of seasonal strength for gold usually ends with the start of lunar New Year holidays and here we are. The seasonal trade didn't work great this year but I strong suspect that's because it was swamped by hawkish shifts in monetary policy expectations due to good data.

Gold edged through the January low of $2013 but has since rebounded so that will be a level to watch on a closing basis. Below that, there is support down to $2010 and at $2000.

gold
gold hourly

Given where seasonals are now, I don't see a reason to buy gold until/unless US economic data stumbles.

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