German economy likely in recession in Q1 2024 - Bundesbank

  • The German central bank comments in its monthly economic report
  • Industry in particular will likely remain in a weak phase
  • No major stimulus is expected from private consumption for the time being either
  • Uncertainty over major issues, like climate policy, also weighing on investment decisions
  • Inflation could fall further in the months ahead
  • But some fluctuation is likely as services inflation is coming down rather slowly

The PMI data earlier today here reaffirms the above sentiment.

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