FX largely indifferent to the improving US equity picture

  • Apple leads a charge in equities

Shares of Amazon remain 10% lower but the market isn't taking it as a sign of a weak consumer. Instead, the 7% rally in Apple shares is proving that one of the FAANG names still has life.

The S&P 500 has extended gains to 1.3% with the Nasdaq up 1.3%

A big part of the Apple bull case is that currency conversion is heavily weighing on the company's results. A bet on Apple is a bet that the dollar will weaken from here.

Meanwhile, the dollar is generally stronger today and particularly against the yen. USD/JPY is up 125 pips to 147.51 and continues to hang around the best levels of the day. That's despite US 10-year yields falling back below 4%.

So what is the case for a dollar top? Looking at the Dollar Index, the momentum has been stopped. After a non-stop rally all year, the pair has spend the last five weeks consolidating. That could simply be a rest before another leg higher but it will depend on what the Fed signals on rates next week and how the US economy performs.

DXY

Best in 2026

Sponsored

General Risk Warning
investingLive Premium
Telegram Community
Gain Access