China official manufacturing PMI (October) 49.0 (expectd 49.6) services 50.1 (expected 50)

  • China PMI data shows manufacturing in contraction for the 7th month in a row, and that its hit a 6 month low.
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China PMIs

China Manufacturing PMI for October 2025 is a poor 49.0,

  • in contraction for the seventh month in row
  • 6-month low
  • expected 49.6, prior 49.8%

Non-manufacturing 50.1

  • expected 50.1, prior 50.0

Composite 50.0

  • prior 50.6

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China has two primary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) surveys - the official PMI released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the Rating Dog China PMI published by Markit / S&P Global.

  • The official PMI survey covers large and state-owned companies, while the Caixin PMI survey covers more small and medium-sized enterprises. As a result, the Caixin PMI is considered to be a more reliable indicator of the performance of China's private sector.
  • Another difference between the two surveys is their methodology. The Caixin PMI survey uses a broader sample of companies than the official survey. Despite these differences, the two surveys often provide similar readings on China's manufacturing sector.

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