China October M2 money supply +8.2% vs +8.1% y/y expected

  • Latest Chinese credit data for October 2025 has been released
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  • Prior +8.4%
  • New yuan loans ¥220.0 billion vs ¥500.0 billion expected
  • Prior ¥1.29 trillion

New bank loans underwhelmed in October after a modest pickup in September and is a miss on estimates once again. This continues to underscore that private demand conditions remain weak and Beijing still has a tall task in trying to stimulate credit growth in order to prop up the economy. That despite the seemingly better outlook implied by the stock market this year. The year-to-date total for new bank loans now stand at ¥14.97 trillion, which will surely fall short of the ¥18.1 trillion total in the whole of 2024.

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