Canada January trade balance +2.62B vs +1.60B expected

  • Canadian trade data for January 2022
Canada trade balance
  • Largest surplus since 2008
  • Prior was -0.14B (revised to -$1.58B)
  • Exports $56.6B vs $56.7B prior
  • Imports $54.0B vs $58.3B prior

The loonie has been stuck because of risk aversion but Canada's terms of trade are improving by the hour. In terms of this report, the revision to the prior suggests more of a timing change of some imports rather than anything fundamental. In general, it's much better to see a trade surplus on rising exports rather than falling imports (like today).

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