Canada January retail sales -0.6% vs -0.4% expected

  • Canadian January 2025 retail sales data and the preliminary February 2025 numbers
Canada retail sales
  • Prior was +2.5% (revised to +2.6%)
  • February advance reading -0.4%
  • Jan ex-autos +0.2% vs -0.2% expected
  • Jan motor vehicle and parts dealers -2.6%
  • Jan furniture, home furnishings, electronics and appliances retailers +3.0% (a good sign, though perhaps skewed by HST holiday)

This is a decent number on the headline and particularly on ex-autos but my focus is on February after tariff threats turned real. The -0.4% is surprisingly good and should help the loonie.

Retail sales Canada
Retail sales m/m

There are some real cross-currents in the Canadian economy right now and a lot of angst. The signals from the housing market have been poor but spending is holding up.

Canada retail sales sectors

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