Canada February CPI 2.8% y/y vs 3.1% expected

  • Canadian February 2024 inflation data
Canada CPI
  • Prior was 2.9% y/y
  • CPI m/m +0.3% vs +0.6% expected

Core measures

  • CPI Bank of Canada core y/y +2.1% vs 2.4% prior
  • CPI Bank of Canada core m/m +0.1% versus +0.1% prior
  • Core CPI MoM SA -0.1% vs -0.1% prior (revised to 0.0%)
  • Trim 3.2% versus 3.4% prior
  • Median 3.1% versus 3.3% prior
  • Common 3.1% versus 3.4% prior (revised to 3.3%)
  • Full report

Last month, this report undershot at 2.9% compared to 3.3% expected and now we get another big undershoot. Cell phone prices were down 26.5% y/y with internet prices down 13.2% y/y, so that's something worth celebrating. Food inflation slowed to 2.4% y/y from 3.4% in January

Canada CPI components

It's increasingly clear that the Bank of Canada is facing a different dynamic than the Federal Reserve that calls for lower rates sooner and in the long term.

USD/CAD is up sharply on this report and is threatening the highs of the year.

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