BofA FMS: AI bubble biggest tail risk for 45% of respondents

  • Latest findings from the Bank of America Fund Manager Survey
Vintage NYSE AI image
  • Investors say companies 'overinvesting' for the first time in 20 years
  • Long Mag 7 most crowded trade for 54% of respondents
  • Emerging markets and banks most vulnerable to proper Q4 risk-off move
  • Froth to correct further without Fed December rate cut
  • Bullish positioning a headwind not tailwind for risk assets
  • Very low 3.7% cash levels are 'sell-signal'
  • Global investors are most overweight stocks since February 2025
  • Most overweight commodities since September 2022

These findings shouldn't surprise anyone as they've been in the financial media for a couple of weeks now. The concerns of an AI bubble really picked in the last few weeks and that coincided with Powell turning a bit more hawkish by not guaranteeing a December cut.

The market and the economy look now very dependent on further rate cuts, and if those don't come, we could see some more corrections.

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