Australian Q4 2024 inflation headline 2.4% y/y (expected 2.5%)

  • Q4 and December 2024 month inflation data for Australia - it's the quarterly data that is of most focus

Inflation data from Australia for the October- December quarter and for December month, 2024.

Headline inflation numbers come in lower than expected.

+2.4% y/y

  • expected 2.5%, prior 2.8%

+0.2% q/q

  • expected 0.3%, prior 0.2%

Trimmed mean (a measure of core, or underlying inflation)

3.2% y/y

  • expected 3.3%, prior 3.5%

0.5% q/q

  • expected 0.6%, prior 0.8%

The weighted median, also a core measure:

3.5% y/y

  • expected 3.5%, prior 3.8%

The trimmed mean is a focus, and at 0.5% this under where the Reserve Bank of Australia was expecting it.

The Australian dollar has been marked lower as, at the margin, these numbers boost the chance of an RBA February rate cut.

aud usd Australian Q4 inflation data 29 January 2025 2

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Background info to this is here:

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