Australian jobs report due soon - preview: Modest gain in employment expected

  • The cost of living impact has seen the participation rate to a record high

I posted on the jobs report due from Australia at 11.30 am Sydney time (0030 GMT and 1930 US Eastern time) here:

Preview comments via CBA:

  • We expect a modest gain in employment in December of +20k after a large 61.5k lift in November.
  • Trend employment growth has slowed, as have forward looking indicators of labour demand.
  • We expect the participation rate to remain unchanged at a record high of 67.2% which would see the unemployment rate remain steady at 3.9%.

Scotia:

  • Australia’s job market has been on fire but will it continue? An uninterrupted string of job gains dating back to May has driven almost 300k more jobs.
  • The effect has driven the labour force participation rate to a record high of 67.2% while keeping the unemployment rate around the record low range of 3.5–3.9%.
  • Wednesday’s tally for December is forecast to keep the momentum going with a mild gain in employment.
Australia jobs preview December 2023

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