Atlanta Fed Q3 GDPNow forecast 3.5% vs 3.6% previously

  • The latest growth-tracking estimate from the Atlanta Fed
Atlanta Fed Q3 GDPNow

From the Atlanta Fed:

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.5 percent on December 16, down from 3.6 percent on December 11. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the contributions of consumer spending and inventory investment to third-quarter real GDP growth fell slightly to 1.84 and 0.09 percentage points, respectively.

We are starting to catch up on economic data but are still essentially flying blind so I don't think this report is useful.

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