Yen being sold on the back of Japan coronavirus cases climbing & subsequent SOE

Analysts at SMBC Nikko Securities in Tokyo with the comments:

Says Yen weakness despite falling real US yields, SMBC says these suggest USD/JPY may fall to 105 levels. But:

  • both yen and Japanese stocks offered, and likely to underperform further as cases grow
  • Support for both would come as Japan rolls out of vaccines
  • But the continuing states of emergency causes drops in domestic demand

Further risk stems from

  • the potential for Japanese to grow tired of self-restraint due to a lack of compensation
  • wariness the latest state of emergency will be extended again

Best in 2026

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