US August retail sales +0.7% vs -0.8% expected

US August 2021 retail sales report highlights:

US August 2021 retail sales report highlights:
  • Prior was -1.1% m/m (revised to -1.8%)
  • Retail sales ex autos +1.8% vs -0.1% expected
  • Prior ex autos -0.4% (revised to -1.0%)
  • Retail sales control group +2.5% vs -0.1% expected
  • Prior control group -1.0% (revised to -1.9%)
  • Retail sales ex auto and gas +2.0% vs -0.7% prior
  • Full report (pdf)

This is an impressive report even with the negative revisions. As expected, vehicle sales were a big drag, down 3.6% while electronics/appliances fell 3.1%. That was balanced by strong furniture store sales, food and beverage stores and non-store retailers (online).

Some key categories (m/m):

  • Food services and drinking places 0.0%
  • Non store retailers (online) +5.3%
  • Clothing and accessories +0.1%
  • Gasoline stations +0.2%
  • Electronics and appliances -3.1%
  • Furniture +3.7%
  • Motor vehicle and parts dealers -3.6%

For some perspective, retail sales are 15.1% higher than a year ago. That's well-above the trend and the fear is that it mean reverts. So far we're not seeing the evidence.

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