From Australia New Zealand Bank (ANZ) on Friday, well ahead of the good NFP results that supported the USD into the weekend:
From ANZ's "FX Strategy Week Ahead" note out last Friday:
- Tentative signs of a stabilisation in the USD are emerging
- Our liquidity indicator is signalling that the market is over-leveraged into the current trend - history suggests caution in looking for any extension.
More:
- Over the past couple of weeks markets have been dominated by the weakness in the USD. While the trigger of a turnaround in the USD is still unclear, sentiment looks too bearish at this stage and momentum has become very stretched on a technical basis. We think risk reward favours scaling into long USD positions.
---
ps. if you missed the nonfarm payroll report and its market impact, start here:
And, more: