The GBP market is frozen in fear right now but Leave is very close to the lead

The latest news isn't good at all for GBP

Regional numbers continue to tick out and they're all softer-than-expected for Remain.

There is a tonne of information hitting at once and it's tough to sort out.

If you want a simple trade, follow @britainelects and @forexlive and compare the ratios to this spreadsheet. Others to follow are @robfordmancs and @chrishanretty

The models are from Chris Hanretty and his latest forecast is 50.2% for Remain. Keep an eye on his blog.

I think the market is in a bit of denial right here. Obviously, very few people expected Leave to win but it looks like it's very close to happening.

East Ayrshire was forecast to vote Remain at 1.461:1 the results are 1.426:1. The trend is happening over and over again.

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