The data cupboard is bare ahead of the FOMC

A big week is isn't being helped by the lack of US data

Not that there's much the data could do to derail Fed expectations but getting a bit more than we are due might liven things up a bit.

Today's card only has import and export prices for Nov.

Coming in at 0.5% in Oct, they are expected to drop -0.4% today. Export prices rose 0.2% and are also looking to fall, by 0.2%.

It's probably a tad early to see the recent jump in the dollar having a big effect here but don't rule out seeing some effects. In the wider picture, any jump in prices is going to give inflation watchers a box to tick and the Fed will also be taking note.

This isn't a huge data point so even a really big beat or miss shouldn't shake markets. However, there's a small chance we see a bigger move in the dollar on a beat than we do on a miss but I'm not expecting 50 pip moves or anything.

That all happens at 13.30GMT

Any market moves are just going to have to come on the whispering wind.

Best in 2026

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