Societe Generale quantitative models look for a lower CHF

Via a Bloomberg piece on the the Swiss franc

  • three of SG's highlight that the CHF is overvalued and is expected to revert to its longer term average
  • three models look at price reversion, valuation versus other currencies, and the slope of yield curves
  • have time horizons of one to six months
  • All three together suggest a weaker franc

SG say the models can be "wrong-footed by unforeseen external factors"

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Models point to SEK as best to buy into year end.

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