September 2016 US Core PCE 1.7% vs 1.7% prior y/y

Details of the September 2016 US PCE data report 31 October 2016

  • 0.1% vs 0.1% exp m/m. Prior 0.2%

  • PCE 1.2% vs 1.0% prior y/y

  • 0.2% vs 0.1% prior m/m. Revised to 0.2%

Core PCE stays steady at 1.7% and that will be comforting to the Fed.

There's been next to no move in the dollar after these numbers as there's nothing here that's a game changer. If the core PCE had hit 1.9% or 2.0% we would have seen a decent move but the market is right on board with a Dec hike, as long as we see no collapse in the data.

US Core PCE y/y

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