Responses to the NZ jobs data miss - RBNZ, NZD

Q4 employment data from NZ earlier is here:

DB with a take on it and what it means for next week's RBNZ meeting (and beyond):

More now …

ANZ:

  • growth momentum has faded
  • looks increasingly difficult for the economy to grow above trend from here
  • RBNZ will eventually need to cut the OCR … but move to a more overtly dovish stance may take some time
  • Today's data will add to a more cautious tone from the RBNZ next week … softer outlook for activity, global growth risks,
  • don't see a significant change in RBNZ central forecasts
  • labour data has been volatile, and anything in 3.8-4.4 % is not surprising
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