Oil set for 'sell the rumour buy the fact' on Iran deal ending?

Article on Bloomberg

This article on Bloomberg makes the point that the oil market has pretty much priced in a US withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal. So, if and when, the US pulls out of the arrangement it would result in a sell the fact scenario. The deal has a deadline of the 12th of May and this presents both a risk and an opportunity for Oil traders. (See Justin's heads up earlier).

To say that the market has priced in a no deal seems a bit premature. As I type WTI crude is testing Asian session highs at 70.66. We have a few days to go and Boris Johnson is heading over from the UK to try and twist Trump's arm to not pull out of the deal. However, a sell the fact scenario is worth bearing in mind come markets opening next week. For now though, buy the rumours...

...and if I can keep talking my book until 71...:-)

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