NZ business sentiment for Q4 2020 improving - strong construction demand a key driver

New Zealand data - the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO

Some of the key points made by NZIER from the survey data:

  • net 16 percent of businesses expect a deterioration in general economic conditions over the coming months, on a seasonally adjusted basis – lower than the 38 percent in the previous quarter, and well below the 68 percent of businesses feeling pessimistic in March 2020.
  • firms’ own trading activity, a net 1 percent reported reduced demand on a seasonally adjusted basis. This measure suggests a rebound in annual GDP growth to around 2 percent at the end of 2020 from the lockdown lows in mid-2020.

More:

  • building sector remains the most optimistic of the sectors
  • sentiment in the other sectors improved
  • businesses are generally still cautious about general economic conditions ahead
  • Demand has improved in most of the other sectors
  • firms are still finding it difficult to pass on rising costs by raising prices, weighing on firm profitability
  • net 15 percent of firms are planning to increase headcount in the next quarter
  • net 10 percent of firms are looking to invest in plant and machinery

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As you can see, NZD little changed.

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