Last day of the month! Barclays comment on month-end flows (spoiler, USD buying)

A snippet via Barclays on the USD (out during US hours):

  • The passive FX rebalancing model at month-end points to USD buying against major peers.
  • The signal is strong against the JPY, moderate against CAD, AUD and GBP, and weak versus the EUR

This contrast with comments from some Japanese analysts yesterday:

But is in sync with Citi:

  • The month-end FX hedge rebalancing estimate points to a stronger than average $USD buying
  • With global equity markets reversing their previous month's gains, the February month-end signal is a mirror image of last month's USD selling

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