JP Morgan sees slower China GDP growth in 2H 2018

Market comments by JP Morgan's managing director and vice chairman for Asia Pacific, Jing Ulrich

  • China's consumption will continue stable growth this year
  • Possible measures from US to be imposed on China trade may have impact on Chinese exports later this year
  • USD/CNY may keep steady and reach 6.25 at year-end

Goes in line with what the firm's chief China economist sees for the Chinese economy later this year.

There is a growing theme that the market is quietly expecting a possible slowdown in China's economy in the second half (particularly with the US-China trade rhetoric brewing). If those whispers start to turn into chatter, it's going to hurt EM more than the worries they are facing right now.

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