JP Morgan sees 45% probability of a Brexit deal close to the existing one materialising

That's unchanged from the start of this week

Brexit
  • Long Brexit delay seen at 20%
  • Second referendum seen at 15%
  • General election seen at 10%
  • No-deal Brexit seen at 10%

You can add this to what Goldman Sachs views on Brexit here. In short, odds of a no-deal outcome is rather slim and this goes to show the kind of skew that markets are having in terms of pricing the pound currently with regards to the scenarios above. If anything, just take this as a barometer of market odds at the moment.

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