Japan data: Tokyo headline CPI 0.9% y/y (expected 0.7%)

We will get the national Japanese inflation data for July in 3 weeks, for now this heads up for Tokyo area CPI

Tokyo headline CPI 0.9% y/y

  • expected 0.7%, prior was 0.6%

Tokyo CPI excluding Fresh Food 0.8% y/y

  • expected 0.7%, prior was 0.7%

Tokyo CPI excluding Food, Energy 0.5% y/y <-- the one to watch

  • expected 0.4%, prior was 0.4%
  • this is the 'core-core', the closest to US core inflation
  • this is only for Tokyo, not national, nevertheless its heading in the BOJ and admin's desired direction although well short of the 2% target

Perhaps a very marginal yen positive.

Mandatory ForexLive health warning: Do not hold your breath waiting for 2% inflation to be hit.

Best in 2026

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