IMF cuts global growth to 3.2% from 3.4%

IMF release their latest outlook report

  • US cut to 2.4% vs 2.6% prior 2016
  • Eurozone cut to 1.5% vs 1.7% prior 2016
  • China up to 6.5% vs 6.3% prior 2016
  • Japan 0.5% vs 1.0% prior 2016

As usual there's a ton of info so I'll put the highlights together

  • Says fragile world economy needs monetary stimulus
  • Governments must prepare a collective reaction for recession
  • Fed hikes should be smooth and gradual and well communicated
  • BOJ should move to a more forecast based monetary policy
  • ECB should keep monetary policy accommodation for an extended period and should be prepared to use other tools
  • Sees further broad based reductions in their baseline growth forecasts for 2016 & 2017
  • Slowing growth and reduced potential output will increase the risk of widespread stagnation and weaker growth
  • Brexit would create severe regional and global damage

Ever the optimists eh?

Best in 2026

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