Huge turnaround in the "Kiwi Dollar Barometer", now expected >0.75 (from 0.65)

This is ASB's Kiwi Dollar Barometer, which surveys NZ businesses with annual foreign exchange turnover of at least NZ$1 million.

  • tracks exporters', importers' and importer/exporters' exposures to foreign exchange risk
  • surveys businesses' expectations for the NZD/USD and businesses' hedging plans
  • survey every 3 months
  • More than 430 businesses surveyed

ASB's 'key takeouts' from the results (in brief):

  • A clear turnaround in NZD sentiment was evident in the survey
  • Surveyed respondents now expect the NZD/USD to average 75.3 cents by Q3 in 2018, which compares to a 12-month outlook of just 65 US cents three months ago.
  • The change in view has occurred in conjunction with the recent lift in the NZD/USD and was generally across the board, irrespective of the size or trade focus of enterprise.
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