Goldman Sachs warn on ISM indicator > 60 “typically marks peak growth”

David Kostin is chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, he warns on the strong ISM index (September ISM manufacturing index 60.8 vs 58.1 expected)

  • plus-60 reading of the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index "typically marks peak growth" and has traditionally been followed by a dip in U.S. equities
  • "Investors buying the S&P 500 at ISM readings of 60 or higher have gone on to suffer negative three- and six-month returns on average as economic activity slowed"
  • "An environment of synchronized global growth acceleration today raises the risk of coordinated global slowdown tomorrow"

More from Goldman Sachs on this at Bloomberg and Yahoo

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(Note, the ISM number was out back at the beginning of this month, Kostin's report is date October 20)

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