Gold bounces after CPI but still lower

Gold prices rebounded to $1234 from $1230 following the softer-than-expected US consumer price index report.

Gold prices have been mostly stuck in a range from $1210-$1260 for the past month. The market is reluctant to make a strong move until the Fed makes a clear signal on tapering. That’s something we could get as soon as tomorrow.

Gold daily chart Dec 17

Gold daily

A taper and hawkish message would send prices below $1210 and could kick off a fresh leg lower. The gold industry will come under heavy pressure if prices fall below $1080 and production shutdowns could support prices there.

When the Fed surprised markets by not tapering on Sept 18, gold prices surged to $1373 from $1303. The market was more-convinced of a taper at that meeting so the reaction is likely to be smaller.

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