Germany July final CPI +3.8% vs +3.8% y/y prelim

Latest data released by Destatis - 11 August 2021

  • HICP +3.1% vs +3.1% y/y prelim

The preliminary report can be found here. No change to the initial estimates as German annual inflation sees a strong uptick last month relative to a year ago, owing to base effects due to the VAT cut in 2H 2020 for the most part this time around.

The German stats office notes that:

As a consequence of the temporary reduction of VAT rates (from July 2020 to December 2020), consumer prices had fallen sharply in July 2020. The low price level of a year ago now had an upward effect on the price development for many goods and services and, consequently, on the overall inflation rate.

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