Goldman Sachs were very close to the money indeed for jobless claims.
I posted yesterday:
And then, prior to the data they boosted their forecast:
Note that this NFP report is unlikely to be instructive, the survey was mainly before the big impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the economy. Over to GS' comments:
- estimate for nonfarm payrolls is a decline of 180k in March
- unemployment rate up 0.3 to 3.8% … risks skewed towards a larger increase
- the March employment numbers are already fairly stale and insignificant in our view, because the April report will likely show job losses in the millions.