ForexLive US Wrap: the week ended on Thursday

  • Italian 10-year bonds fall to euro-era lows after weak auction, ECB said to be buying in secondary market
  • MF Global unlikely to survive weekend
  • U Mich consumer sentiment revised to 60.9 from 57.5
  • US spending as expected in PCE report, income soft
  • Japan and Brazil showing interest in EFSF
  • CFTC report shows yen longs doubled
  • Lots of talk about Thursday’s ECB decision
  • Fitch says Greek haircut is a default event
  • S&P and Fitch affirm EFSF AAA-rating
  • JPMorgan reverses call, says US Q4 GDP to be +2.5%
  • Europe to set clocks back one hour on Sunday
  • S&P 500 fractionally higher on day at 1285, gains 3.7% on week
  • WTI crude down 49-cents to $93.47
  • Gold down $3 to $1744
  • JPY and USD are top performers; CHF and EUR lag

If you slept through the entire session, you wouldn’t have missed much and that was probably just fine for most after a sleepless week. The ranges in North America were tight and never budged.

One question entering the trading day was whether the euro would be able to close above the 200-day moving average but it was never in doubt as most currencies moved pulled back only fractionally from yesterday. EUR/USD traded 20 pips either side of 1.4160 and the lack of a stronger pull back must to be seen as a win for the bulls.

USD/JPY took a run at yesterday’s all time low but fell a pip or two short. The CFTC report inspired some talk about intervention and pushed the pair 15 pips from the lows.

Some large orders and a suspected fat finger made for some momentary excitement in cable but it was short lived. Among the commodity currencies, CAD made a few strong moves but nothing materialized as flows dominated.

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