Forexlive European Wrap: Euro takes an early bath ahead of the NFP

I was really looking for a quiet morning, but a raft of poor Mfg PMI’s and comments from Germany’s Schaeuble changed all that.

Macro sellers led an early assault on EUR/USD tripping some sell stops through 1.2925 to lows around 1. 2895. Bounces failed to hold above 1.2910 and Mr Market then targeted a 1.2880 barrier (part of a DNT). This was duly broken with sell stops again triggered through 1.2875 to lows of 1.2865 before bids from real money names led a half-hearted recovery to 1.2893.

GBP/USD found support at 1.6080 and received a boost from construction PMI back up through 1.6100, but failed to recover to o/n highs. EUR/GBP broke down through 0.8000 on the PMI release but there was no follow-through with the cross settling around 0.8005 .

USD/JPY continues to grind higher but offers from exporters, option names ahead of a 80.50 barrier are proving stubborn with the pair stuttering in the low 80.30’s.

AUD/USD led a gradual slide after overnight highs in Asia of 1.0419, drifting to 1.0368 in uninspiring trade. Support in EUR/AUD ahead of 1.2400 keeping the downside pressure on AUD/USD

Equities were largely quiet and flat, gold was bracketed in a $5 range around 1708, and December WTI shed just over 50 cents to lows around $86.26 per barrel

Roll on the NFP….

Best in 2026

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