Prior 18.2
Current conditions 20.5 vs 16.5 prior
Expectations 14.3 vs 20.0 prior
The current conditions index has come on leaps and bounds. It was 3.8 last Aug.
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Dow futures rally 900 pts, oil tumbles 12% as Iran conflict pauses. Oil prices still near record highs.
Market rejoicing continues: Oil down, gold up. USD down, equities up. Euphoric markets moves in oil after a two week ceasefire announced.
Petrodollar's 50-yr reign challenged by petroyuan amid Iran war. Dollar's reserve share hits 25-yr low.
Oil prices could hit $5/gal if Hormuz closes. JPM warns of supply shock, impacting consumer budgets.
US chemical stocks DOW & LYB surge 70%+ on feedstock advantage & global supply woes. Expect strong margins.
Japan real wages rose 1.9% y/y in Feb, the fastest in five years, as nominal pay grew 3.3% and outpaced inflation. Data strengthens the case for a BoJ rate hike, with markets increasingly pricing tightening at the April meeting.
Oil tanks 12% on ceasefire hopes; futures jump. Traders eye geopolitical shifts.
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